Download Probabilistic Thinking: Presenting Plural Perspectives by Egan J. Chernoff, Gale L. Russell (auth.), Egan J. Chernoff, PDF

By Egan J. Chernoff, Gale L. Russell (auth.), Egan J. Chernoff, Bharath Sriraman (eds.)

ISBN-10: 9400771541

ISBN-13: 9789400771543

ISBN-10: 940077155X

ISBN-13: 9789400771550

This quantity presents an important, present and huge research of probabilistic pondering from a couple of mathematicians, arithmetic educators, and psychologists. The paintings of fifty eight contributing authors, investigating probabilistic pondering around the globe, is encapsulated in 6 prefaces, 29 chapters and six commentaries. finally, the 4 major views offered during this quantity (Mathematics and Philosophy, Psychology, Stochastics and arithmetic schooling) are designed to symbolize probabilistic considering in a better context.

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Modelling in probability and statistics—key ideas and innovative examples. In J. Maaß, & J. ), Real-world problems for secondary school students—case studies (pp. 1–44). Rotterdam: Sense Publishers. , & Kapadia, R. (1991). A probabilistic perspective. In R. Kapadia, & M. ), Mathematics education library: Vol. 12. Chance encounters (pp. 27–71). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic. Buffon, G. L. (1777). Essai d’arithmetique morale. In G. L. Buffon, Histoire naturelle générale et particulière (Suppl. 4). Paris: Imprimérie Royale.

London: Griffin. Bellhouse, D. R. (2000). De Vetula: a medieval manuscript containing probability calculations. International Statistical Review, 68(2), 123–136. Berger, J. O. (1993). Statistical decision theory and Bayesian analysis. New York: Springer. Bernoulli, D. (1738/1954). Specimen theoriae novae de mensura sortis. Commentarii Academiae Scientiarum Imperialis Petropolitanae, 5, 175–192. , Exposition of a new theory on the measurement of risk. Econometrica, 22, 23–36. Bernoulli, J. (1713/1987).

Pascal and Fermat’s approach sheds light on the correct application of what they termed to be the ‘favourable to possible rule’, but they made less progress in trying to formally define the concept of probability. They used probability pragmatically as the equal likelihood of outcomes in games of chance, which seemed to be intuitively obvious to them. Hence the emergence of the classical a priori theory (APT) of probability, which later was linked to the principle of indifference discussed below, based on the ideas of Laplace.

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