By Constantine J. Spiliotes
ISBN-10: 1585441422
ISBN-13: 9781585441426
Read Online or Download Vicious Cycle: Presidential Decision Making in the American Political Economy (Presidency and Leadership Studies, 9) PDF
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Extra info for Vicious Cycle: Presidential Decision Making in the American Political Economy (Presidency and Leadership Studies, 9)
Sample text
Different macroeconomic paradigms envision particular types of solutions, so the institutional structures that develop in response to them are constrained to defining specific types of policy options. Absent the ascendancy of a new macroeconomic logic, however, conditions are insufficient to alter the balance of institutional responsibility at any given moment. Under this process of institutional development, the successive decisionmaking paradigm or logics most influential in the period increasingly concentrate institutional responsibility in the presidency.
He ties this variation to the degree of electoral security enjoyed by the incumbent. Incumbents facing difficult reelection battles have a much greater incentive to induce electorally profitable macroeconomic cycles than do those who are secure in their positions. Schultz’s insight that the incentives shaping incumbent behavior may vary over the course of an administration works well with the idea that presidential preferences react to changing political incentives and constraints over the course of a four-year term.
The Evolution of the President as Macroeconomic Policy Maker, 1908–46 2 The two statements below were written a mere twenty-five years apart, but they are light-years apart in their implications for the institutional responsibility of the president. The first statement, from , is by President Warren G. Harding: “There has been vast unemployment before and there will be again. There will be depression and inflation just as surely as the tides ebb and flow. ” 1 The second statement is from the Employment Act of , signed into law by President Harry S.