Download Vicious Cycle: Presidential Decision Making in the American by Constantine J. Spiliotes PDF

By Constantine J. Spiliotes

ISBN-10: 1585441422

ISBN-13: 9781585441426

American presidents input place of work able to enact a policy-making schedule that would fulfill partisan pursuits and facilitate reelection to a moment time period. monetary conditions, even though, may possibly seize presidents in a vicious cycle of monetary progress and inflation as opposed to recession and unemployment. confronted with a public that assigns to the executive govt accountability for the nation's monetary well-being, presidents are frequently pressured via the dynamics of this cycle to make tradeoffs among pursuit of political ambitions and stabilization of the economic climate. Vicious Cycle: Presidential choice Making within the American Political financial system examines the strategic calculus that drives presidential attractiveness of those decision-making tradeoffs. It offers a theoretical framework for explaining how presidents pursue partisan and electoral pursuits in place of work, whereas concurrently handling the nation's economic climate in the constraints of a posh institutional surroundings. With an technique that bridges numerous literatures in presidential stories and political economic climate, Constantine J. Spiliotes develops an econometric version of postwar presidential choice making within the American political economic system and employs its insights to explicate the empirical dynamics of monetary selection making in 4 presidencies. The broadly documented studies—Presidents Eisenhower, Johnson, Carter, and Reagan—offer version throughout a number of analytic dimensions: temporal, partisan, electoral, and institutional. Spiliotes concludes that presidential popularity of decision-making tradeoffs among the pursuit of political targets and the imperatives of institutional accountability is pushed via a metamorphosis within the nature of the yank presidency, from an place of work within which determination making is anchored in partisan responsibility to at least one within which selection making is restricted by way of the executive executive's institutional project. Spiliotes's paintings will give a contribution to a fuller knowing of the presidency, political economic system, and the methodologies that elucidate them.

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Extra info for Vicious Cycle: Presidential Decision Making in the American Political Economy (Presidency and Leadership Studies, 9)

Sample text

Different macroeconomic paradigms envision particular types of solutions, so the institutional structures that develop in response to them are constrained to defining specific types of policy options. Absent the ascendancy of a new macroeconomic logic, however, conditions are insufficient to alter the balance of institutional responsibility at any given moment. Under this process of institutional development, the successive decisionmaking paradigm or logics most influential in the period increasingly concentrate institutional responsibility in the presidency.

He ties this variation to the degree of electoral security enjoyed by the incumbent. Incumbents facing difficult reelection battles have a much greater incentive to induce electorally profitable macroeconomic cycles than do those who are secure in their positions. Schultz’s insight that the incentives shaping incumbent behavior may vary over the course of an administration works well with the idea that presidential preferences react to changing political incentives and constraints over the course of a four-year term.

The Evolution of the President as Macroeconomic Policy Maker, 1908–46 2 The two statements below were written a mere twenty-five years apart, but they are light-years apart in their implications for the institutional responsibility of the president. The first statement, from , is by President Warren G. Harding: “There has been vast unemployment before and there will be again. There will be depression and inflation just as surely as the tides ebb and flow. ” 1 The second statement is from the Employment Act of , signed into law by President Harry S.

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